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Mastering the Future of Retail in Japan: Why Stakeholder Management is the New Growth Model

  • Writer: ulpa
    ulpa
  • Apr 24
  • 17 min read
Mastering the Future of Retail in Japan: Why Stakeholder Management is the New Growth Model

Japan’s retail sector is undergoing a quiet yet profound revolution. For decades, the bedrock of Japanese retail success was owning the value chain, meticulously controlling procurement, logistics, distribution, and the final customer touchpoint. Major retailers commanded the market narrative, scaled rapidly through franchise models, and built empires by relentlessly optimising operational efficiency. This "Value Chain Owner" model thrived in an era of predictable demographics and stable consumption patterns.  However, the ground is shifting. The traditional model, once a symbol of strength, is now struggling to adapt to seismic societal and consumer changes. Japan faces a declining population, a rapidly ageing society, and a fundamental evolution in consumer values and priorities. The old certainties are gone.   


Recently, Roland Berger’s Tokyo office released a compelling report, in Japanese called, "The Future of Retail Business,"  outlining critical insights into the necessary evolution and the Future of Retail in Japan.. Its core, transformative insight? The industry must pivot from the Value Chain Owner model to a Stakeholder Management model. This new paradigm prioritises holistic value creation, not just for the end consumer but for every participant within the intricate retail ecosystem. This includes suppliers, franchise owners, employees, delivery partners, local communities, government bodies, and the increasingly fragmented customer base itself.  This post unpacks the seven critical transformations shaping the future of Japanese retail, as identified in the report. We'll explore why these trends matter and how businesses, particularly foreign companies entering the Japanese market, can proactively adapt their strategies for sustainable growth by embracing this stakeholder-centric approach.


Table of Contents

From Value Chain Power to Stakeholder Balance

The Erosion of the Old Model

For much of the post-war era, Japan's retail sector operated within a framework of demographic and economic stability. A growing population with relatively homogenous consumption patterns allowed retailers to perfect systems focused on mass efficiency, bulk procurement, and tight control over logistics and branding. Retailers sat confidently at the apex of the value chain, leveraging their scale and consumer access to exert pressure on suppliers and partners.   


However, these foundational assumptions are no longer valid. Key pressures are fracturing the old model:   

  • Shifting Demographics & Values: Japan’s shrinking, ageing population and the diversification of consumer values mean the "mass market" is dissolving. What worked for a uniform customer base is ineffective for today's varied segments.   

  • Labour Dynamics: The nationwide labour shortage has a severe impact on retail, particularly for franchise models that were once reliant on abundant staffing. Rising wages further strain traditional, labour-intensive operations.   

  • Supply Chain Strain: Increasing raw material costs and logistical challenges, the "2024 problem" impacting trucking capacity, put pressure on margins and traditional supply relationships.   

  • Heightened Social Expectations: There is a growing demand for businesses to demonstrate social value, particularly in terms of environmental sustainability and ethical practices.   

These forces mean that the traditional power dynamic, where retailers dictate terms down the value chain, is unsustainable. Retailers can no longer afford to operate in functional silos. They must now consider the interconnectedness of their actions and how they impact the entire ecosystem: suppliers struggling with cost pressures, franchise owners facing viability challenges, delivery partners navigating logistical hurdles, employees seeking better conditions, local governments expecting community contribution, and customers demanding more than just products.   


The Emergence of Ecosystem Thinking

Stakeholder management isn't merely corporate jargon; it's a fundamental survival and growth strategy for the new era of Japanese retail. To remain relevant and resilient, retailers must actively manage the needs and expectations of a complex web of participants. Many of these stakeholders now possess powerful tools (social media, alternative platforms) to voice dissatisfaction or shift their allegiance.   


A truly stakeholder-centric strategy involves embedding this thinking into the core of the business:   

  • Integrating ESG: Moving beyond reporting to embedding Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics into core Key Performance Indicators and strategic decision-making.   

  • Community Engagement: Actively participating in local communities through co-creation projects, regional revitalisation initiatives, or providing essential services.   

  • Fair Partnerships: Offering franchisees and suppliers sustainable, long-term viability rather than simply squeezing margins. This might involve fairer contract terms, collaborative innovation, or shared investments.   

  • Employee Well-being: Implementing employee-first policies focused on retention, skill development, fair wages, and overall workplace well-being, recognising the acute labour shortage.   

  • Transparent Communication: Openly communicating efforts and progress on social and environmental value creation to build trust with all stakeholders, including investors.   

This shift is not about superficial optics. The Roland Berger report suggests that companies deeply aligning their operations with the holistic needs of their stakeholders build greater resilience against economic downturns, foster more significant long-term innovation, and cultivate stronger customer loyalty in an increasingly disrupted market. It's about building a sustainable business ecosystem where all participants can thrive.   


Seven Transformations Defining the Future of Retail in Japan

The shift towards stakeholder management is manifesting in several key trends that are reshaping the operational and strategic landscape of Japanese retail.

1. Customisation of Private Brands (PB)

Private Brands or "PBs" are evolving far beyond their origins as simple, low-cost alternatives. In Japan, they are becoming powerful tools for value-based segmentation, reflecting the increasingly diverse lifestyles, ethics, and aspirations of consumers.   

  • Consumer Fragmentation: The homogenous "mass market" is gone. Roland Berger's consumer analysis highlights a significant decline in easily influenced "Follower" segments and the rise of distinct groups like "Minimalists" (projected to be 20-25% by 2030), "Socially-Oriented" (10-15%), "Lifestyle Pursuers" (10-15%), and "Human/Family-Oriented" consumers. These groups have vastly different purchasing motivations.   

  • Untapped Potential: Currently, Japanese retailers lag significantly behind Europe in PB penetration (Japan ~17-19% vs. Europe ~37-44%). Existing Japanese PBs often focus narrowly on price or basic quality, missing opportunities to connect on social or emotional values. European retailers like Carrefour and Coop Italy demonstrate sophisticated PB strategies catering to diverse needs: organic, fair trade, gourmet, regional specialities, health-focused, and basic value lines.   

  • Data is Key: The proliferation of cashless payments and loyalty programs provides retailers with a wealth of first-party data. By linking purchasing data with customer attributes, retailers can move beyond basic demographics to understand values and lifestyles. This enables precise segmentation and the development of targeted PB offerings. Tesco in the UK, for instance, analyses store-level shopper data to customise its extensive PB range (over 5,700 SKUs) for each location's specific customer mix.   

  • Strategic Imperative: Retailers need to develop multi-tiered PB portfolios that resonate across four value dimensions: Social (eco-friendly, ethical sourcing), Emotional (lifestyle alignment, design, enjoyment), Price (value for money, cost performance), and Functional (quality, specific features, health benefits). This requires building internal capabilities for generating deep consumer insights and potentially collaborating more closely with manufacturers on specialised product development.   

For Foreign Companies: Simply translating labels isn't enough. Product development must be "value-aware." This means deeply understanding the specific values driving different Japanese consumer segments, be it sustainability, minimalism, wellness, tradition, or novelty, and creating PB lines that authentically connect with those worldviews. As the report notes, over 60% of Japanese consumers want brands that "understand their values" , this is the blueprint for PB success.   


2. Strategic Divergence in Store Formats & Operations

A one-size-fits-all approach to physical retail is obsolete. Japanese store operations are bifurcating: high-touch, experiential formats in some locations, and hyper-efficient, automated formats in others, driven by labor pressures and diverse consumer needs.   

  • Labour Crisis: Severe labour shortages and rising part-time wages, projected to continue increasing, make traditional staffing models increasingly costly and difficult to maintain. Retailers are actively seeking ways to optimise labour deployment.   

  • Technology Adoption: Retailers are implementing various technologies for "smart work" (省人化 - shōjinka). AI for demand forecasting and shelf management, automated ordering and receiving, electronic shelf labels, RPA for back-office tasks, self-checkout, smart carts (like those used by Trial ), and even fully unmanned stores (like Germany's Tegut... teo ).   

  • Merihari (メリハリ) Operations: The key is strategic "メリハリ", applying resources with nuanced intensity. Not all tasks or stores require the same level of human interaction. While efficiency tech reduces labour needs for routine tasks, human interaction remains crucial for certain products (e.g., high-consideration items like apparel, electronics) and customer segments (those seeking advice or experience). The report suggests categorising stores based on merchandise and the primary customer need (e.g., time-saving convenience vs. leisurely discovery) and tailoring staffing and service levels accordingly. Best Buy in the US exemplifies this with large experiential stores featuring expert staff, such as the "Geek Squad," contrasted with smaller, digitally focused urban stores.   

  • Dual Value Focus: This operational shift isn't just about cost-cutting (economic value); it's also about creating social value, reducing employee burdens and potentially maintaining access to retail in underserved areas through efficient or unmanned formats.   

Implications for New Entrants: A single physical store strategy won't suffice across Japan's diverse regions and demographics. Your presence must align with local needs and typical shopping missions. Is the goal speed and efficiency (automated, potentially unmanned) or engagement and service (well-staffed, experiential)? Flexibility in design, technology adoption, and staffing models is critical for competitive advantage.   


3. Secondhand Ecommerce Becomes Mainstream

The resale market, particularly online, is rapidly moving from niche to mainstream in Japan, driven by sustainability concerns, value consciousness, and a desire for unique items. Traditional retailers are increasingly participating.   

  • Multiple Drivers: This isn't just about saving money, though declining real wages play a role. It's fueled by growing awareness of waste, particularly food loss, with over 78% of consumers actively trying to reduce it. Alignment with circular economy principles is gaining traction globally, as seen in initiatives like the EU Green Deal, and the influence of minimalist and socially conscious consumer segments is also growing. Potential future regulations on waste for sectors beyond food, mirroring EU proposals for the apparel sector, could further accelerate this.   

  • Beyond C2C: While platforms like Mercari pioneered Consumer-to-Consumer resale, the trend now involves B2C and B2B models. Examples include:

    • Food Waste Platforms: Apps connecting consumers to share surplus food (Olio ) or B2B platforms selling aesthetically imperfect produce (Full Harvest ).   

    • Refurbished Goods: Official programs selling certified pre-owned electronics (Apple ).   

    • Apparel Resale/Upcycling: Logistics providers offering services to manage, refurbish, and resell surplus apparel stock (Senko's ZERO BRANDS ).   

  • Retailer Opportunity/Necessity: Retailers ignoring this trend risk losing relevance and revenue. The future likely involves integrated "Secondhand Ecommerce" platforms where retailers can sell their own surplus/returned stock, facilitate C2C exchange, and even incorporate stock from other businesses (manufacturers, restaurants). Success requires investment in:

    • Matching Platforms: Systems to connect buyers and sellers efficiently.   

    • Reverse Logistics: Capabilities to collect, process, and potentially refurbish/repackage items. This might involve partnering with logistics firms or repurposing underutilised infrastructure (e.g., a declining number of gas stations).   

    • Value-Added Services: Cleaning, repair, or rebranding services to increase the appeal of secondhand goods.   

Strategic Consideration: Integrating a second-hand strategy isn't just about recouping value from waste; it's about meeting evolving consumer demands for sustainability and circularity, fostering brand loyalty, and potentially generating new revenue streams.   


4. Two-Speed Sustainability Messaging

Communicating sustainability effectively requires acknowledging that different consumer segments engage with the topic differently. A monolithic approach won't work; messaging needs to be bifurcated.   

  • Segmented Engagement: Some consumers, often those with higher incomes or a strong social conscience, seek in-depth, authentic narratives about sourcing, impact, and ethical practices. Others prioritise simplicity, clear visual cues, and practical benefits.   

  • The Trust Gap: Japanese consumers show relatively low satisfaction with buying sustainable products and lower trust in product sustainability labels compared to consumers in other major economies like China, India, or even the UK and Germany. This highlights the importance of credible, transparent, and tailored communication.

  • Differentiated Approaches: Retailers need two distinct communication strategies:

    • High-Value Narrative: For engaged segments, focus on emotional storytelling, transparency in the value chain, unique ethical sourcing stories, like Whole Foods' detailed standards, and building a premium brand image around sustainability.   

    • Efficient Communication: For the broader market, focus on clear, simple, standardised metrics and visual labels, like eco-scores used by Carrefour in France or the multi-retailer environmental labelling trial in the UK involving Tesco, Sainsbury's, etc. . This often requires industry collaboration or consortia to establish common standards and reduce costs. Similar scoring is emerging in apparel, Allbirds' carbon footprint labels and cosmetics, L'Oréal's impact labels.   

  • Beyond Greenwashing: Success depends on a genuine commitment, reflected in procurement standards and potentially the creation of distinct, sustainability-focused product lines or brands.   

Strategic Choice: Retailers must decide which approach (or combination) aligns with their target customers and brand positioning. It's not about compromise, but strategic segmentation.   


5. Retail as a Health & Wellness Hub

Responding to Japan's ageing demographic and growing consumer interest in self-care, retailers are integrating health and wellness services, potentially becoming vital "health hub stations" within local communities.   

  • Demographic Imperative: Japan faces rapidly rising healthcare and elderly care costs driven by its ageing population. This creates a national focus on shifting from treatment ("cure") to prevention ("care") and strengthening community-based and in-home support systems. The government's "Regional Comprehensive Care System" aims to provide integrated medical, nursing, prevention, and lifestyle support within local communities.   

  • Retail's Role: Retailers, with their existing physical footprint and customer relationships, are uniquely positioned to play a role in this shift. This goes beyond simply selling health products. Opportunities include:

    • Preventative Services: Offering spaces for health checks (blood pressure, etc.), nutritional counseling linked to food purchases, exercise promotion tied to loyalty programs, and access to telemedicine. Addressing primary prevention, especially for lifestyle diseases linked to factors like obesity (the "metabolic domino" ), is key.   

    • Personalised Solutions: Leveraging data, with consent, to provide tailored health advice and product recommendations, moving beyond generic offerings to meet individual needs, a key consumer desire.   

    • Home Care Support: Partnering with healthcare providers to support in-home care through delivery of medical supplies, remote monitoring services, and potentially acting as a local touchpoint for patients and caregivers. US examples like Best Buy Health's acquisition of remote care platforms and CVS Health's integration of clinics and home health services illustrate this potential.   

    • Integrated Platforms: Developing integrated apps that combine health tracking, online consultations, prescription services, and potentially link to community care resources. This addresses current gaps in Japan's fragmented health tech market.   

  • Building Trust: Success hinges on building trust and potentially partnering with local governments, medical institutions, and specialised service providers.   

Strategic Opportunity: Retailers who successfully embed health and wellness into their offering can build deep customer loyalty, create new service revenue streams, and fulfil a vital societal role within the community care ecosystem.   


6. Retail + Mobility = Lifestyle Integration

The rise of Electric Vehicles is transforming mobility hubs (like gas stations or parking lots) into potential new retail zones, creating opportunities to integrate purchasing experiences with travel and charging time.   

  • EV Growth & Charging Needs: EV adoption is projected to increase significantly in Japan and globally. Unlike quick gasoline fill-ups (5 min), EV charging often takes considerably longer (30-60+ minutes for meaningful range with common chargers). This creates substantial "dwell time" for drivers.   

  • The "30-Minute Opportunity": Retailers installing EV charging stations, which have lower setup costs than gas stations, must consider providing more than just power. The key competitive differentiator will be how they utilise this newly created 30+ minute consumer engagement window.   

  • Evolving Service Models: Leading players are already experimenting:

    • Enhanced Amenities: Adding cafes, convenience stores, or even partnerships with other retailers at charging locations (Shell's partnerships with Costa Coffee and Waitrose ).   

    • Data-Driven Offers: Using charging station displays or apps to provide personalised offers or services based on driver data or location (Kroger's use of Volta chargers for targeted coupons ).   

    • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with charging network providers or automakers to ensure convenient locations and seamless user experiences (Target's partnership with Tesla ).   

  • Location-Specific Concepts: The ideal service mix depends heavily on the charging station's location. The report suggests concepts like:

    • Urban Office Areas: Quick errands (dry cleaning pickup, essential groceries).   

    • Urban Residential: Local services (salons, cafes), community spaces.   

    • Suburban Station Hubs: Less frequent but necessary tasks (financial services, public service access).   

    • Highway/Roadside: Rest and relaxation (cafes, massage), car maintenance.   

    • Tourist/Rural Areas: Local information, souvenir shopping, regional food experiences.   

Future Outlook: The future sees a deeper fusion of mobility and commerce, potentially involving mobile stores serving remote areas, charging hubs acting as product discovery zones via apps, and personalised services triggered by vehicle data. Retail geography is becoming more fluid and responsive to movement.   


7. Physical Retail Polarises: Logistics Hub or Leisure Destination

As digital technologies increasingly replicate the functional aspects of shopping online, the role of the physical store is polarising into two distinct models: ultra-efficient "Dark Stores" for logistics, or highly curated "Entertainment Stores" for experience. The generic middle ground is disappearing.   

  • Online Experience Enhancement: Technologies like AI-powered recommendations, AR try-ons (Amazon/L'Oréal example ), IoT for automated replenishment, smart fridges, and potentially future tech like five-sense haptic/taste/smell simulation are making online shopping more immersive and efficient, reducing the need for physical stores for basic transactions. While some technologies like full sensory replication face hurdles (cost, hardware size ), the trend towards richer online experiences is clear.   

  • The Two Poles:

    • Dark Stores (Logistics Focus): These locations are optimised purely for fulfilling online orders rapidly and efficiently. They are essentially small, strategically located warehouses, often invisible to the public, focusing on inventory management, picking, packing, and last-mile delivery coordination. Key considerations include location strategy, optimising internal operations, and building efficient last-mile delivery networks.   

    • Entertainment Stores (Experience Focus): These stores prioritise engagement, community, and services that cannot be replicated online. They become brand embassies, offering hands-on workshops, expert consultations, live events, unique services (like in-store cafes or repair centres), and a strong sense of community. Success hinges on identifying unique "killer content" or experiences that draw customers in and potentially partnering with other service or content providers.   

  • The Vanishing Middle: Traditional stores offering neither exceptional logistical convenience nor compelling experiences are becoming increasingly unviable.   

Strategic Question: Retailers must critically assess their physical footprint: Does each location primarily serve to deliver (logistics value) or delight (experiential value)? If the answer is "neither," significant strategic rethinking is required. Often, a retailer might operate a mix of both dark stores and entertainment stores to cover different needs and geographies.   


Building a Japan-Ready Strategy: Five Key Moves

Adapting to these transformations requires more than incremental adjustments. Foreign and domestic players alike need a strategic framework built on ecosystem thinking. The Roland Berger report implicitly suggests several key moves:

Go Beyond Basic Demographics

Japan's market may be shrinking overall, but consumer diversity is increasing. Simple age/gender segmentation is insufficient. A deeper understanding requires:   

  • Value-Based Segmentation: Identifying core motivations like security-seeking vs. novelty-seeking, minimalist vs. conspicuous consumption, and social consciousness vs. tradition.   

  • Lifestyle Archetypes: Building personas around emergent groups like eco-warriors, digital-native seniors, wellness enthusiasts, or family-centric individuals.   

  • Regional Nuances: Recognising cultural and economic differences between major metropolitan areas (Tokyo, Osaka) and smaller regional cities or rural areas.   

  • Data & Research: Utilising localised ethnographic research, first-party data analysis, and direct customer feedback (zero-party data) to build these nuanced understandings.   


Measure Ecosystem Value Creation

Shift KPIs beyond purely financial metrics like gross margin or Customer Lifetime Value. Incorporate metrics that reflect broader stakeholder contribution and sustainability:   

  • Supplier satisfaction and diversity indices.

  • Franchisee profitability, longevity, and satisfaction scores.

  • Impact on local employment, training, and community revitalisation.

  • Measurable environmental improvements (e.g., carbon reduction, waste reduction etc).   

  • Employee retention rates and satisfaction metrics. Embed these into management reporting and investor communications to demonstrate alignment with broader societal goals, which is increasingly valued in Japan.  


Align Product & Brand Strategy with Social Narratives

In Japan, consumers often connect with brands that resonate with prevailing social conversations and values. Product quality is table stakes; building loyalty requires narrative depth:   

  • Connect to Trends: Link products and brand stories to relevant narratives, mental wellness, preventative health, sustainable living, food traceability, simplification/minimalism, or regional craft.   

  • Local Co-Creation: Develop these narratives authentically with local influencers, designers, community groups, or even customers, rather than simply importing global campaigns.   

  • Value-Driven PBs: Ensure Private Brands strongly reflect specific consumer values, acting as tangible expressions of the brand's understanding and commitment.   


Prepare for Logistics Redesign & Innovation

Japan's logistics system faces significant challenges. Relying solely on traditional distribution models is risky. Proactive strategies include:   

  • Exploring New Models: Investigating urban consolidation centres, shared last-mile delivery networks, potentially leveraging gig economy workers or partnerships, AI-optimised routing and fulfilment, and automated solutions like delivery drones or robots.   

  • Secondhand Logistics: Building capabilities for efficient reverse logistics to support returns and resale/refurbishment initiatives.   

  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with innovative logistics providers, technology firms, or even local governments to pilot new approaches.   


Map and Engage Your Stakeholder Web

Treat market entry or strategic shifts in Japan as building a social contract, not just a commercial transaction.   

  • Identify All Stakeholders: Explicitly map out everyone impacted by your operations, employees, suppliers, franchisees, customers (segmented), local communities, government agencies, industry associations, environmental groups, etc..   

  • Define Mutual Value: For each stakeholder, articulate clearly: What value do we bring to them? What support or engagement do we need from them? How can we create mutually beneficial, sustainable relationships?.   

  • Proactive Engagement: Move beyond reactive problem-solving to proactive dialogue and collaboration with key stakeholders.   

Instead of asking only "How can we grow in Japan?", the more critical question becomes, "How can we contribute meaningfully to the Japanese retail ecosystem?". This shift in mindset builds not just market share, but crucial local legitimacy and long-term resilience.   


Final Thoughts...

The future of retail in Japan, as outlined by Roland Berger, isn't a simple, linear path. It's complex, layered, multi-faceted, and deeply ecosystemic. This inherent complexity is often why foreign brands stumble; they attempt to apply simplistic, home-market models to a nuanced reality. But for those willing to embrace the complexity and commit to understanding the interconnected web of stakeholders, the rewards can be substantial and enduring.   


Stakeholder management is not a distraction from growth; it is the pathway to sustainable development in the new Japanese retail landscape.  Because in Japan, perhaps more than in many other markets, trust and alignment with societal values compound over time. Brands that genuinely embed themselves within the ecosystem, respond to the nation’s shifting priorities, cater to diverse consumer values, and contribute positively to their communities won’t just survive the ongoing transformation; they will be positioned to truly thrive.


FAQ Section

What is the Stakeholder Management model in Japanese retail?

The Stakeholder Management model in Japanese retail is a business framework that shifts focus from maximising efficiency through ownership of the value chain to creating holistic value for all parties in the retail ecosystem. This includes consumers, suppliers, franchisees, employees, logistics partners, local communities, and regulatory bodies. This model is emerging as essential due to growing demand for corporate responsibility, labour shortages, and shifting consumer trust. Companies embracing stakeholder alignment are more resilient, research shows they experience 2–3x greater long-term innovation and stronger customer loyalty than those adhering to traditional models.

What is driving the shift in Japan’s retail business model?

The shift is driven by three critical pressures: demographic collapse, labour constraints, and evolving consumer expectations. Japan’s population has declined by over 3 million people since its 2008 peak, with 29.1% of the population now aged 65 or older (Statistical Bureau of Japan, 2023). Simultaneously, the retail labour market faces a projected shortfall of over 700,000 workers by 2030, with part-time wages rising 15% over the past five years. Consumers are also redefining value, over 60% of Japanese shoppers now prioritise brands that reflect their personal values, such as sustainability and wellness, according to the Roland Berger survey.

What are the key transformations shaping Japanese retail?

Seven critical transformations are reshaping Japanese retail:

  1. Customised Private Brands – Japan’s PB penetration remains low (17–19%) compared to Europe (37–44%), but value-based segmentation is driving change.

  2. Store Format Divergence – Automation is accelerating due to a labour shortage; over 50% of retailers are testing unmanned or semi-automated stores.

  3. Mainstream Secondhand Ecommerce – Platforms like Mercari boast 22 million monthly users, and 78% of consumers are actively trying to reduce food waste.

  4. Two-Speed Sustainability Messaging – Trust in sustainability labels is 20–30% lower in Japan than in the UK or Germany.

  5. Retail as a Health Hub – Japan’s health and elderly care costs are projected to reach ¥73 trillion by 2040, creating demand for preventative retail health services.

  6. Retail + Mobility Integration – EV ownership in Japan is expected to reach 20% of new vehicle sales by 2030, with average charging dwell times of 30–60 minutes.

  7. Physical Retail Polarisation – The rise of dark stores and flagship "entertainment stores" is eliminating mid-tier retail, with 28% of store closures occurring in this segment since 2019.

Why is consumer segmentation changing in Japan?

Consumer segmentation in Japan is evolving due to the fragmentation of values and lifestyles. The once-dominant "Follower" segment is in decline, while new groups are emerging: "Minimalists" are expected to make up 20–25% of consumers by 2030, "Socially-Oriented" 10–15%, and "Lifestyle Pursuers" another 10–15% (Roland Berger, 2024). Retailers now rely on first-party data from cashless payments and loyalty programmes to segment customers by behaviours and values rather than age or income. This precision targeting is critical, over 60% of consumers say they want brands that "understand their values" before making a purchase.

How can foreign retailers succeed in Japan’s evolving market?

Foreign retailers must localise their strategy to align with Japan’s complex ecosystem. Success requires five key actions:

  • Value-aware Product Development: 60% of Japanese consumers prefer brands aligned with their personal values (Roland Berger, 2024).

  • Custom Store Formats: Regions vary, automated formats work in labour-scarce areas, while experiential formats suit urban centres.

  • Health & Wellness Integration: Japan’s ageing society offers a strategic opening; preventative services can tie retail to healthcare.

  • Circular Economy Participation: Secondhand platforms are now mainstream, with resale market volume expected to grow 15% CAGR through 2030.

  • Stakeholder Mapping: Companies that actively engage stakeholders and report ESG progress see stronger brand trust, investor surveys show ESG-aligned businesses attract 20–25% higher long-term investment in Japan.


Ready to learn how to launch, integrate and scale your business in Japan?

Download our intro deck and contact ULPA today to learn how we can help your company learn the rules of business in Japan and redefine those rules.

Let The Adventure Begin.



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